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Why a Milei-Style Shutdown Isn't Needed to Control Spending in Argentina

12/07/2026 09:39 - Politica

What is a Shutdown and How Would it Work in Argentina?

The announcement by President Javier Milei about the possibility of implementing a US-style government shutdown sparked a debate over its viability and necessity in the South American country.

The Expert's Diagnosis

Guido Rangugni, president of the Argentine Association of Budget and Public Financial Administration (ASAP), spoke with Ámbito on July 11, 2026, to analyze this measure. According to the expert, the US mechanism does not apply when a government runs out of money, but rather when there is no approved law.

In Argentina, if there is no agreement in the National Congress, a prórroga (extension) of the previous year's budget automatically applies. This allows the Executive branch to recalculate debt payments, eliminate funds for finished projects, and adjust for the Consumer Price Index (CPI), but prohibits spending more in real terms than what was executed the previous year.

Government Tools for 2026

Rangugni warned that spending in 2026 will exceed what was originally budgeted because actual inflation was higher than anticipated, and 50% of state expenses are tied to the CPI. However, he noted that the ruling party does not need a shutdown to balance the books.

Estimated Cut

15% - 20%

in real terms for non-pension expenses, according to Article 1 of the budget law.

The Labor Obstacle

Finally, the president of ASAP emphasized that if the government intended to send public employees on unpaid leave, it would have to modify current labor laws. From a spending perspective, it doesn't make sense because they have all the tools at their fingertips to contain expenses, Rangugni concluded, emphasizing that economic stability can be achieved through the legal mechanisms already available in Argentina.

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Alfredo's Column Alfredo S. Quiroga

Alfredo S. Quiroga