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IMF Backs Argentina's Financial Plan and Central Bank Reform in a Key Day for the Economy

09/07/2026 15:55 - Economia

International Backing on Independence Day

On a new anniversary of Argentina's Declaration of Independence (July 9), the country's economy received highly encouraging news. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) praised the financial program presented by Economy Minister Luis Caputo and showed its support for the reform of the Central Bank of Argentina's (BCRA) Charter. This reform aims to prohibit, with criminal penalties, the financing of the Treasury through money issuance—a practice historically linked to high inflation in the country.

This backing comes in a context of remarkable stability. The 2026/2027 financial plan projects a surplus of USD 3.7 billion for this year, with estimated needs of USD 19.2 billion and financing sources amounting to USD 22.9 billion. For 2027, the outlook considers USD 24.9 billion in financial needs.

Bond Payments and Reserve Strength

On July 9, 2026, the national government successfully completed the maturity of Global bonds totaling USD 2.5 billion. The operation was covered through a loan of USD 3.2 billion granted by three international banks (BBVA, Santander, and Deutsche Bank), with guarantees from the IDB and IBRD.

Thanks to this strategy, the impact on the Central Bank's reserves was minimal. After the payment, BCRA reserves stood at USD 48.722 billion, having reached a maximum of USD 49.536 billion on July 7. Additionally, the BCRA has accumulated 124 consecutive days of buying foreign currency, adding USD 11.465 billion so far in 2026.

Encouraging Economic Indicators

  • The country risk (a financial indicator measuring the premium investors demand to buy Argentine debt compared to US Treasury bonds) remained at 405 basis points, its lowest since 2018.
  • The official exchange rate at Banco Nación (the state-owned bank) is trading at 1,510 ARS per USD, while the 'blue dollar' (the informal, parallel exchange rate widely used by locals) remains stable at 1,515 ARS.
  • The REM (Market Expectations Survey, a monthly BCRA report gathering analyst forecasts) projects a 2% inflation rate for June and July 2026.
  • The Bonar 2029 sovereign bond will make its debut on July 15 for USD 2 billion at a 6% annual rate.
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Alfredo S. Quiroga